Is the United States in a Real Economic Recovery?

When talking about economic recovery, a distinction must be made between short-term and long-term effects. We’ll label as short-term effects those that last less than a year, and as mid and long term those that last more than a year. In practice, three to five years are needed to determine if effects are long lasting or not.

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What Can We Expect From the Guatemalan and Global Economy?

Historically, the Guatemalan economy has had low volatility. For the past twenty years, the average growth rate has been 3.5%. [1] This level of volatility is generally lower than that of the other economies in the region. However, as the country suffers its worst political crisis since 1993, the question on everyone’s mind is, Will the political crisis affect the economy?

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What Is the Future of the Guatemalan Banking System?

The Guatemalan banking system, much like the country’s macroeconomic indicators, has been very stable the last few years. The bankruptcies that affected banks and financial intermediaries seem to have been forgotten. In recent history, bankruptcies by financial intermediaries are due to technical mismanagement, scams, or government corruption.

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Negative Interest Rates and Exchange Rates: The United States and Europe, What Does the Future Hold?

The Federal Reserve, pursuing growth and unemployment objectives, will likely end the current federal funds policy close to zero at its next meeting. If the Federal Reserve increases the federal funds rate, following unemployment data and changes in last-minute credit, it would exacerbate the difference with the eurozone’s negative interest rates, and possibly, depreciate the euro against the dollar.

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